Also on cricketcountry.com
By Abhijit Banare
Please note this is a humour article — work of pure fiction
After being in the thick of things for his Winning and Score Predictor (WASP) during the India, New Zealand first One-Day International (ODI), the founder of the WASP, Dr. Seamus Hogan has founded a new formula to calculate the WASP score for Suresh Raina and Ishant Sharma. Sky Sports is likely to present the chances of Raina getting out by a short ball in every match and also estimate it.
Dr. Hogan said, “After thinking of predicting match results, I had set my aim on creating formula for predicting performance of players in the match. And I couldn’t think of an easier way out than starting with Raina and Ishant.
“Unlike that original formulae which even Duckworth and Lewis didn’t understand, this one is easier to calculate and any ordinary fan can understand. For Raina we have combined a list of the fast bowlers he faced since his debut in 2005, the number of dismissals by short balls.
S(SO) = A(BF) * B(FC) – C(PL)
Where the percentage of Raina being dismissed by a short ball is equal to the multiplied total of all short balls faced and the seasoned pace bowlers he faced subtracted by the short balls he has faced in Indian Premier League (IPL). Raina is a different player altogether in IPL and it can reduce the chances of him getting out by a short ball.
C(PL) which stands for all the balls faced in IPL.
B(FC) Balls faced by experienced short-pitched bowlers like Mitchell Johnson, Dale Steyn and Morne Morkel.
A(BF) All short balls faced.
The score for Raina will keep changing with every short ball bowled by the opposition.
About Ishant, Dr. Hogan said, “We will be considering all the matches where he has conceded over six runs an over. Unlike Raina, Ishant’s records in IPL will also be included in the estimation. We have still not released the formula for Ishant, as we are not sure how much worse he can get. So, we need more samples of his performance against different opposition. Till now we only have a good data of him against Australia.”
When asked whether this was tested earlier for accuracy, a confident Hogan said that they have tested the formula on Ashish Nehra through the entire Ranji Trophy season. Last heard, the creator of WASP is eagerly working on a percentage for estimating the chances of MS Dhoni opting for a last ball finish. And if things go fine, there will be a WASP score for Chris Gayle during IPL.
(Abhijit Banare is a reporter at CricketCountry. He is an avid quizzer and loves to analyse and dig out interesting facts which allows him to learn something new every day. Apart from cricket he also likes to keep a sharp eye on Indian politics, and can be followed on Twitter and blog)
Play Fantasy Cricket & Win
Cash Daily! Click here